Where is Dorian now?
Hurricane Dorian has been battering the Bahamas for two days—causing catastrophic destruction and at least seven deaths. On Friday afternoon, the storm was located around 80 miles east northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida where it’s continuing to intensify as it marches toward the U.S. coastline.
What category is it?
It is currently a Category 5 storm with maximum sustained winds near 215 mph. Dorian Latest News As Hurricane Dorian continues to approach the Atlantic coast of the United States, here are some of the latest news stories on where Dorian is now: Hurricane Dorian is Now an ‘Extremely Dangerous’ Category 5 Storm Aiming At The US East Coast where Dorian latest news – National Hurricane Centre.
The warm waters of the Gulf Stream are helping Dorian thrive. Deep convection around its core is allowing it to maintain a massive thunderstorm cloud structure, despite its minimal surface pressure. The latest data from NOAA’s Hurricane Hunters found maximum sustained winds of 110 mph on Saturday afternoon, or just short of Category 3 status.
Dorian is expected to pass over the only upper-level ridge in the vicinity, which should prompt some re-intensification early on Sunday morning. This will be followed by more weakening later on both Sunday and Monday as it approaches the Florida coast. High wind shear associated with an approaching mid-latitude trough will interact with Dorian’s circulation, while dry air entrainment could continue where it makes landfall.
Today’s 0Z Euro model run brings Dorian just west of the Florida peninsula, where it continues to be cantered for 24 hours or so. The next 12Z Euro is about an hour away, and it’s showing a track just east of Florida, where it starts to point northwest by 36 hours. The GFS 00Z Sunday has Dorian almost due west of Miami by 72 hours before accelerating toward the Gulf of Mexico after that time frame. These models suggest that direct impacts on most of the states are unlikely at this time.
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What is the strongest hurricane ever?
Hurricane Irma has been named as one of the most powerful hurricanes ever seen in the Atlantic Ocean. The storm, which affected several Caribbean islands and Florida, reached a peak wind speed of 185 miles per hour.
Currently, Hurricane Wilma is the strongest Atlantic hurricane ever recorded, after reaching an intensity of 882 mbar (hPa; 26.05 inHg) in October 2005; at the time, this also made Wilma the strongest tropical cyclone worldwide outside of the West Pacific where seven tropical cyclones have been recorded to intensify above 900mbar/hPa.
However, given that there are no measurements from within historical records for Typhoon Tip (Olivier 1979), Julia (Ula 1976), Forrest (Dwight 1978), Camille (1969) and Linda (1990) where they were estimated to have pressures around 870 mbar (hPa; 25.69 inHg), it is highly unlikely that Irma reached this pressure; although we cannot know for sure if they did or not.
When considering the satellite era of tropical cyclone records where both aircraft and satellites measured surface pressures with the Dvorak technique, reliable estimates of central pressure can be determined which began in 1966 when Hurricane Betsy made landfall in Louisiana. However, even at the time, ambiguities existed in using this technique to determine a storm’s minimum central pressure because of limited knowledge about the influence of thunderstorm activity on this value.
However, several studies using this technique where Hurricanes Camille and Allen where it has been revealed that the Dvorak Technique is not always accurate in determining a storms minimum pressure which can lead to errors of 100 mill bars or more especially when estimating a storm’s intensity which occurs mainly during the pre-dawn hours over land where environmental conditions are less favourable for measurement reliability.
After 1979, satellite imagery began to be used where satellites measure cloud features but also measure sea surface temperatures which help determine where a hurricane is located and where it will travel next. This helps improve computer forecasts significantly by providing up to six-day tropical cyclone track forecasts including where they may make landfall.